Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.425687 0.491149 0.562369 0.645479 0.739674 0.842983 0.964735
2025-09-14 0.304849 0.391800 0.495802 0.628769 0.793602 0.990526 1.242849
2025-09-21 0.235952 0.328974 0.448405 0.611725 0.827796 1.102222 1.475246
2025-09-28 0.190798 0.284846 0.412943 0.598104 0.856411 1.201067 1.692176
2025-10-05 0.166262 0.263254 0.402201 0.612701 0.919709 1.346483 1.978717
2025-10-12 0.151388 0.252527 0.404001 0.643092 1.005499 1.527359 2.326571
2025-10-19 0.135769 0.237873 0.397303 0.658748 1.069400 1.680173 2.644335
2025-10-26 0.120852 0.221886 0.386008 0.665007 1.118070 1.812491 2.939860
2025-11-02 0.106864 0.205262 0.371279 0.663341 1.152814 1.924579 3.210841
2025-11-09 0.093702 0.188093 0.353331 0.653812 1.172875 2.013719 3.450514
2025-11-16 0.082553 0.172928 0.336853 0.644541 1.191581 2.100693 3.691072
2025-11-23 0.071334 0.155981 0.315074 0.623273 1.187078 2.147961 3.868118
2025-11-30 0.068241 0.154826 0.322587 0.656427 1.282061 2.371193 4.359030
2025-12-07 0.059450 0.140794 0.304055 0.639152 1.284762 2.436219 4.584532
2025-12-14 0.051863 0.128135 0.286601 0.621825 1.285254 2.496484 4.804610
2025-12-21 0.045628 0.117473 0.271828 0.607997 1.290643 2.565081 5.042978
2025-12-28 0.042657 0.113833 0.271255 0.622813 1.352650 2.741408 5.488187
2026-01-04 0.041241 0.113672 0.278107 0.653662 1.448807 2.987657 6.077759
2026-01-11 0.038767 0.110547 0.278015 0.669552 1.515639 3.181990 6.580811
2026-01-18 0.035849 0.105853 0.273798 0.675905 1.562989 3.341215 7.025698
2026-01-25 0.032710 0.100084 0.266371 0.674214 1.592911 3.467473 7.413203
2026-02-01 0.029427 0.093399 0.255949 0.664542 1.604628 3.557590 7.734180
2026-02-08 0.026511 0.087256 0.246099 0.655132 1.615935 3.647183 8.058806